How juries get fooled by statistics (TEDTalks)

	Duration: 22:06 minutes Upload Time: 07-01-12 16:45:04 User: TEDtalksDirector :::: Favorites :::: Top Videos of Day
Description: http://www.ted.com Statistician Peter Donnelly explores the common mistakes humans make in interpreting statistics, and the devastating impact these errors can have on the outcome of criminal trials. Donnelly is a statistics professor at Oxford University who collaborates with biologists, applying statistical models to genetics, with the hope of shedding more light on evolutionary history and the structure of the human genome (Recorded July 2005 in Oxford, UK. Duration: 22:06)
Comments
cryora ::: Favorites lol at the end there was car commercial 07-09-26 20:03:33 __________________________________________________
cryora ::: Favorites "We are not good at reasoning with uncertainties" 07-09-26 20:00:57 __________________________________________________
throwbakman ::: Favorites if it hapensmore times in 5 coins, then it will be larger, not smaller then HTT .. not gunna explaine it so just look at it and think till you understand that it is A 07-08-20 08:55:27 __________________________________________________
shsnawada ::: Favorites Wasnt that bayes theorem that he was talking about when saying 0.00098 and all that? A very good talk, btw. 07-07-16 21:07:25 __________________________________________________
hoschiadedodi ::: Favorites Well I think he was explaining that when you throw HT and you want HTT but you get HTH you already have the H for your next Trial (on the way to HTHTT). On the other hand, when you throw HT, looking for HTH, but getting HTT you have to start with an H again (on the way to HTTHTH, which is 6 cyphers) 07-06-07 18:54:01 __________________________________________________
lefthandrighthand ::: Favorites Nopes, listen again starting at 6:50. 07-04-28 16:29:09 __________________________________________________
Flyrev ::: Favorites Sorry, limitations of space here: [...] is higher in the HTT example. Because when you get HTH, you don't have the HTT pattern, but you only need two more to get it. Understand? 07-04-25 04:54:19 __________________________________________________
Flyrev ::: Favorites You're wrong. A is correct. Just because the HTH can appear in clumps, doesn't mean that the average number of tosses before the pattern appears is higher. 07-04-25 04:50:40 __________________________________________________
JoseEmidio ::: Favorites Yes I think you are right. 07-04-20 22:08:54 __________________________________________________
Doc1806 ::: Favorites No, i believe you are wrong. 07-04-09 21:11:52 __________________________________________________